I think I know what the next CPI print will be. Is there a financial prediction market where I can place a bet on it?

Yes. CPI releases are explicitly traded in prediction markets, and the two obvious venues are Kalshi and Polymarket.

• Kalshi — CPI markets — Kalshi has dedicated CPI contracts tied to the BLS release. Its contracts can be structured around thresholds (e.g., whether CPI is above a particular value), so you can express a directional view.
• Polymarket — CPI markets — Polymarket has offered contracts on headline CPI MoM, core CPI MoM, and YoY CPI, with specific outcome buckets. Its July CPI market, for example, had over $300k in volume.

One important wrinkle: as of today (Aug. 20), the July CPI release already happened on Aug. 12, so those particular contracts are settled. The next tradable opportunity should be around the August CPI release, scheduled for September.

If you tell me what number you think the next CPI will print (e.g. “headline 0.2% MoM, core 0.1%”), I can search the current Kalshi/Polymarket markets and show you exactly which contract would express that bet, its current implied probability, and the approximate payout.

Yes, there are active financial prediction markets where you can trade or place bets on upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases.

The next official U.S. CPI report (covering August 2026 data) is scheduled to be released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday, September 11, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET . Ahead of that release, you can look at the following platforms:

• Kalshi : Kalshi offers CFTC-regulated event contracts tied directly to official economic data . They feature specific binary and range markets for upcoming monthly and yearly CPI prints (such as headline and core CPI thresholds) where you buy "Yes" or "No" contracts based on where you think the final BLS number will land.
• Polymarket : Polymarket hosts active economic prediction markets covering upcoming U.S. annual and monthly inflation metrics, including Core and Headline CPI tiers for specific upcoming months.

If you want to narrow down your strategy, tell me:

• Are you looking to trade headline CPI or core CPI?
• Are you aiming for the monthly (MoM) or annual (YoY) print for August?

I can help you check what the current consensus odds and ranges look like on these platforms.

Yes, you can trade or bet on upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases on dedicated prediction markets and event-contract exchanges. These platforms let you take a position on whether inflation will come in higher, lower, or within a specific range relative to expectations.

Top platforms offering CPI and economic data contracts:

• Kalshi : A federally regulated financial exchange (regulated by the CFTC) that offers direct event contracts on macroeconomic indicators, including monthly CPI and Core CPI prints. You can buy "Yes" or "No" contracts based on specific thresholds.
• Polymarket : A crypto-based prediction market platform that frequently hosts high-volume prediction markets for upcoming economic releases like CPI, employment reports, and Federal Reserve rate decisions.
• Interactive Brokers (IBKR) : Through their partnership with ForecastEx, IBKR offers direct event derivatives trading where retail traders can trade contracts tied to economic data releases like CPI and non-farm payrolls.
• PredictIt : While primarily focused on politics, PredictIt occasionally runs markets on specific economic milestones or Federal Reserve actions, though macro data like monthly CPI is more reliably found on Kalshi or Polymarket.

Would you like to know more about how these economic event contracts work , or are you looking for details on current market expectations for the next CPI release?

Yes. Kalshi is probably the most direct fit if you’re in the U.S. It currently has markets specifically on the next CPI release, including both the year-over-year CPI rate and the month-over-month change.

For example, the current August CPI markets include:

• CPI YoY: contracts such as “above 3.3%,” “above 3.4%,” etc.
• CPI MoM: contracts for exact outcomes such as 0.3% or 0.4%.
• The August CPI contracts settle around the September 11, 2026 CPI release.

There are also Polymarket CPI markets, although availability and eligibility in the U.S. differ from Kalshi. Recent reporting confirms Polymarket has been offering CPI prediction markets as well.

One important distinction: if by “I know what the next CPI print will be” you mean you have nonpublic information about the actual number, that's very different from simply having a strong forecast based on public data. Trading on material nonpublic information can raise serious legal/regulatory issues.

If you tell me what CPI number you're predicting (e.g. “headline YoY will be exactly 3.2%”), I can look at the current Kalshi contracts and show you which contract most closely expresses that bet and what the current implied odds/payout are.

Yes, you can trade economic event contracts and CPI data on Kalshi , which is a fully regulated financial exchange specifically designed for event-based trading.

Where to Trade CPI Predictions

• Kalshi : This is the primary U.S.-regulated platform featuring dedicated economic and inflation markets. You can find specific contracts for upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases, including month-over-month and year-over-year inflation numbers. Contracts trade as binary "Yes/No" outcomes priced between $0.01 and $0.99, settling at $1.00 if your targeted range or threshold hits.
• Alternative Venues : Other major forecasting platforms like Polymarket occasionally run macro or crypto-adjacent economic feeds, and traditional brokers like Interactive Brokers have integrated prediction market features for economic indicators. However, Kalshi remains the most robust and direct marketplace for precise U.S. economic data prints like CPI and Fed rate decisions.

If you want to move forward, tell me:

• Are you looking to trade headline CPI, core CPI, or a specific numerical range?
• Do you already have a Kalshi account set up , or do you need help understanding how the contract pricing works?

Yes. Kalshi and Polymarket both have markets tied directly to CPI releases.

• Kalshi — Inflation markets — Kalshi currently lists contracts on things like August 2026 Core CPI YoY, as well as other inflation outcomes. Kalshi is particularly straightforward if you're in the U.S. and want a conventional prediction-market interface.
• Polymarket — CPI prediction markets — Polymarket currently has hundreds of CPI-related markets, including contracts on specific monthly CPI outcomes and thresholds.

One important wrinkle: today is August 12, 2026, and the July CPI has already been released—headline CPI came in at 0.1% MoM / 3.4% YoY, with core at 0.2% MoM / 2.5% YoY. www.reuters.com So if by “next CPI print” you mean August CPI, released in September, you want the August 2026 contracts rather than the July ones.

If you tell me what exact number you think the next CPI will print (e.g. “headline MoM will be 0.3%” or “core YoY will be 2.6%”), I can look up the currently available contracts, prices/implied probabilities, and which venue gives you the cleanest way to bet that thesis.

Yes. Kalshi and Polymarket both currently have markets tied directly to the next U.S. CPI release.

• Kalshi: has a July 2026 CPI year-over-year market with contracts at specific thresholds such as above 3.2%, 3.3%, and 3.4%. The market is scheduled to close when the July CPI report is released on August 12, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET.

• Polymarket: has several CPI markets, including July CPI YoY, Core CPI YoY, and Core CPI MoM, with traders buying shares corresponding to particular outcomes.

So if, for example, your thesis is “July headline CPI will print 3.4% YoY”, you can potentially take a position specifically on that outcome rather than betting on stocks or Treasuries as an indirect expression of the view.

One important distinction: CPI markets aren't necessarily asking exactly the same question. Some settle on headline YoY, some on monthly CPI, and others on core CPI. The precise BLS definition and rounding rule in the contract matter.

If you tell me your CPI prediction (e.g. “headline 3.5%, core 2.7%”), I can look up the current contracts and tell you which market most directly expresses your view and what the current implied odds/payoff are.

Yes, several major event-contract and prediction market platforms regularly host real-time contracts on U.S. macroeconomic numbers, including monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI prints.

The primary platforms where you can trade or bet on upcoming CPI data include:

• Kalshi : A federally regulated financial exchange in the United States that offers direct event contracts on economic indicators, including headline CPI, Core CPI, and year-over-year/month-over-month inflation brackets. Because it operates under regulatory compliance, U.S. users can fund and trade contracts directly using standard USD.
• Polymarket : A prominent crypto-native prediction market that frequently launches event outcome markets for upcoming monthly U.S. inflation data (such as Core CPI MoM and annual CPI figures). Trades on Polymarket are denominated in cryptocurrency/stablecoins (like USDC).
• Robinhood : Offers integrated event and macro prediction contracts for retail investors covering key economic metrics like CPI YoY releases.

Note on Rules: Most monthly CPI prediction contracts lock out trading right before the official Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) release time and resolve automatically based on that single-decimal official print. Be sure to check the specific rules on whether the market tracks headline or core figures, month-over-month (MoM), or year-over-year (YoY) metrics.

If you want to narrow down your options, let me know:

• Which specific platform type you prefer (regulated USD vs crypto-based)
• Whether your prediction targets headline CPI, Core CPI, MoM, or YoY

I can help you pinpoint the exact contract details or current crowd-sourced odds.

Yes. If your view is specifically about the next U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, there are prediction markets that list contracts tied to the official Bureau of Labor Statistics print.

The main options are:

• Kalshi – A U.S.-regulated prediction market that routinely offers contracts on monthly CPI releases. You can trade contracts such as "CPI above 0.1% month-over-month" or exact year-over-year inflation outcomes, with settlement based on the official BLS data. Current markets for the upcoming CPI release are already listed.
• Polymarket – Also lists CPI and inflation markets, often with multiple outcome buckets (for example, exact YoY values). Availability depends on your jurisdiction and applicable regulations.
• Robinhood – Has offered certain event contracts through partnerships with prediction-market infrastructure, though availability varies over time and by event.

A few things to keep in mind:

• These markets are generally structured as event contracts, not traditional sports bets.
• Liquidity can vary significantly. If you have a niche view (for example, an exact CPI figure rather than "above/below"), the bid-ask spread may be wide.
• If you believe you have material nonpublic information about the release, trading on that information could have legal consequences. If your edge comes from your own economic analysis or forecasting, that's the normal use case for these markets.

If your thesis is more specific—such as "headline CPI MoM will be +0.3%" or "core CPI will come in below consensus"—I can suggest which type of contract would best match that view and explain how the payoff differs between threshold and exact-value markets.

Yes, you can Kalshi Inflation Markets.

• Kalshi: This is a CFTC-regulated financial exchange where you can trade event contracts on U.S. economic data, including monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) and year-over-year (YoY) inflation prints. They offer specific binary contracts (Yes/No) structured around whether CPI will come in above or below a certain threshold (e.g., specific decimal targets or YoY percentages). The contracts lock right before the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases the official numbers at 8:30 AM ET.
• Polymarket: You can also find macro and economic indicator prediction contracts—including Core CPI YoY brackets—on Polymarket , which utilize crypto-settled event shares. Keep in mind that liquidity, exact bracket ranges, and regional availability vary compared to regulated domestic exchanges.

If you want to narrow this down, let me know:

• Are you looking to trade headline CPI MoM, Core CPI YoY , or a broader inflation threshold?
• Do you prefer a regulated U.S. fiat platform like Kalshi or a crypto-native market like Polymarket?