Data as of Aug 25, 2026 · Based on 3,939 AI responses · See how Parse measures this
Prediction Market Betting Platforms
Parse
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Polymarket has ascended to become the dominant crypto-based prediction market, experiencing a meteoric rise in AI recommendations since late 2025. Across the niche, AI assistants have decisively shifted from suggesting traditional sportsbooks to highlighting a clear duopoly: for global crypto users and for those seeking a regulated, US-based platform.
| # | Brand | What AI says | Mention rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The largest and most liquid crypto-based prediction market for global events. | 65% | |
| 2 | The leading CFTC-regulated US exchange for betting on real-world event contracts. | 60% | |
| 3 | A pioneering decentralized protocol where users can create their own custom markets. | 21% | |
| 4 | The top recommendation for creating casual, play-money markets with friends. | 15% | |
| 5 | A long-running political prediction market often mentioned for US election betting. | 13% | |
| 6 | 12% | ||
| 7 | Frequently cited as a traditional sportsbook that does *not* offer political betting. | 11% | |
| 8 | The stablecoin AI recommends for betting on platforms like | 10% | |
| 9 | A major sportsbook AI assistants now clarify does not offer political betting. | 10% | |
| 10 | 10% | ||
| 11 | 9% | ||
| 12 | 8% | ||
| 13 | 7% | ||
| 14 | 7% | ||
| 15 | 6% | ||
| 16 | 5% | ||
| 17 | 5% | ||
| 18 | 5% | ||
| 19 | 5% | ||
| 20 | 4% | ||
| 21 | 4% | ||
| 22 | 4% | ||
| 23 | 4% | ||
| 24 | 3% | ||
| 25 | 3% |
Who wins on each AI
The same market, seen by two models.
Sources AI cited
defirate.com is the page AI reaches for most here, cited in 20% of analyzed answers.
Rose from #17 to #1 in mention rank between Oct 2025 and Mar 2026.
Climbed from #5 to #2 in mention rank between Oct 2025 and Mar 2026.
Dropped from #1 to #6 mention rank as AI differentiated sportsbooks from prediction markets.
“A potential option for political or entertainment betting.” → “A sportsbook that explicitly does not offer political or most novelty betting markets.”
Fell from #3 to #5 mention rank as AI specified it for sports, not event contracts.
| Brand | ChatGPT Search | Google AI Mode | Comparison |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 77% | ||
| 74% | 69% | ||
| 19% | 13% | ||
| 19% | 8% | ||
| 2% | 12% |
The two models disagree most about Drift Protocol (ChatGPT #24, Google #4) and Betfair (ChatGPT #19, Google #6).
Polymarket has ascended to become the dominant crypto-based prediction market, experiencing a meteoric rise in AI recommendations since late 2025. Across the niche, AI assistants have decisively shifted from suggesting traditional sportsbooks to highlighting a clear duopoly: Polymarket for global crypto users and Kalshi for those seeking a regulated, US-based platform.
Across 3,939 AI responses, Polymarket is mentioned most, named in 65% of them, followed by Kalshi (60%) and Augur (21%).
Parse measures each brand's mention rate — the share of answers naming it — across 3,939 AI responses to this market's buyer questions. Answers are collected daily and the ranking is published weekly.
Brands enter the ranking when AI answers mention them. Parse collects answers daily and publishes the re-measured set weekly, so new brands appear as AI starts recommending them.
AI responses have consistently and overwhelmingly recommended Polymarket as the top choice for this query. Over time, answers have become more detailed, mentioning competitors like
Kalshi (as a regulated option with crypto support) and
Augur (for decentralization) but always reinforcing
's dominance in market variety and liquidity.
What's the best crypto-based prediction market for betting on a wide range of topics?
AI responses have consistently and overwhelmingly recommended Polymarket as the top choice for this query. Over time, answers have become more detailed, mentioning competitors like
Kalshi (as a regulated option with crypto support) and
Augur (for decentralization) but always reinforcing 's dominance in market variety and liquidity.
Polymarket is the consistent winner for this technical, crypto-native query. Early responses in Nov 2025 also mentioned , but since Dec 2025, 's dominance has been absolute. is sometimes mentioned as a regulated competitor, with other platforms like Drift and noted for their specific focuses on or .
Brands mentioned
Brands mentioned
Polymarket is the consistent winner for this technical, crypto-native query. Early responses in Nov 2025 also mentioned
Augur, but since Dec 2025,
Polymarket's dominance has been absolute.
Kalshi is sometimes mentioned as a regulated competitor, with other platforms like Drift and
Limitless noted for their specific focuses on
Solana or
Base.
The market map
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