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Research/Does AI keep the same recommendation when its sources change?

Does AI keep the same recommendation when its sources change?

Almost half the time. The top recommendation stayed the same in 12,243 of 25,883 back-to-back AI answer pairs where no cited page repeated, or 47.30%.

By Dimitry Apollonsky · August 7, 2026 · 11 min read

47.30%
kept the same top brand when no cited page repeated
12,243 of 25,883 back-to-back answer pairs
▸Contents
  • The same top brand remained first after complete cited-page turnover in 47.30% of pairs
  • Every cited page changed in 21.06% of back-to-back answer pairs
  • Two repeated pages raised top-brand stability to 62.82%
  • ChatGPT Search held the same top brand more often than Google AI Mode
  • The time between answers did not create a steady pattern
  • Industry stability ranged from 39.96% to 61.75%
  • LinkedIn stayed first in 86.05% of its complete-turnover pairs
  • The result held under stricter page and prompt-history rules
  • What marketers should do
  • Get the data
  • Sources
  • Related research
Contents
  • The same top brand remained first after complete cited-page turnover in 47.30% of pairs
  • Every cited page changed in 21.06% of back-to-back answer pairs
  • Two repeated pages raised top-brand stability to 62.82%
  • ChatGPT Search held the same top brand more often than Google AI Mode
  • The time between answers did not create a steady pattern
  • Industry stability ranged from 39.96% to 61.75%
  • LinkedIn stayed first in 86.05% of its complete-turnover pairs
  • The result held under stricter page and prompt-history rules
  • What marketers should do
  • Get the data
  • Sources
  • Related research

In one observed cut of the Parse mirror, we analyzed 122,882 back-to-back answer pairs across 159,114 AI answers, 14,881 organic prompts, 21,578 top brands, 835,775 cited pages, and 206,622 cited websites on ChatGPT Search and Google AI Mode from May 24 through July 16, 2026.

47.30%
of pairs with no repeated cited page kept the same top brand
12,243 of 25,883
21.06%
of back-to-back answer pairs repeated no cited page
25,883 of 122,882
15.52 pp
separated pairs with two repeated pages from pairs with none
62.82% versus 47.30%
10.70 pp
separated the two engines when no cited page repeated
50.16% versus 39.46%

The same top brand remained first after complete cited-page turnover in 47.30% of pairs

The top recommendation stayed the same in 12,243 of 25,883 back-to-back answer pairs where no cited page repeated, or 47.3013%. It changed in the other 13,640 pairs, or 52.6987%. A back-to-back pair contains two consecutive answers from the same engine to the same organic prompt.

A completely different set of cited pages did not always change the top brand. Track the recommendation outcome and the cited pages as separate fields. SparkToro found less than a one-in-100 chance that repeated ChatGPT logoChatGPT or Google logoGoogle AI runs would produce the same complete brand list twice. This study narrows that question to one first recommendation and the pairs where every cited page changed.

47.30%
kept the same top brand when no cited page repeated
12,243 of 25,883 adjacent answer pairs

Takeaway

Record the first recommendation and the cleaned set of cited pages separately for every repeated prompt.

Every cited page changed in 21.06% of back-to-back answer pairs

No cleaned cited-page address repeated in 25,883 of 122,882 back-to-back answer pairs, or 21.0633%. These complete-turnover pairs covered 10,077 organic prompts.

Complete page turnover occurred often enough to audit as a recurring condition. The rate describes this observed prompt corpus and should not be treated as a probability for every future answer.

21.06%
of back-to-back pairs repeated no cited page
25,883 of 122,882
25,883
pairs with complete cited-page turnover
10,077
organic prompts represented

Two repeated pages raised top-brand stability to 62.82%

The same top brand remained first in 12,243 of 25,883 pairs with no shared page, or 47.3013%; 14,597 of 27,424 pairs with one shared page, or 53.2271%; and 43,707 of 69,575 pairs with two or more shared pages, or 62.8200%. The last group was 15.5187 percentage points above the no-shared-page group.

Page continuity was associated with higher recommendation stability. It does not show that a repeated page caused the engine to keep the brand first. Ahrefs logoAhrefs similarly found that Google logoGoogle AI Mode and Google logoGoogle AI Overviews could reach similar conclusions while citing different pages, but its comparison was across engines rather than across back-to-back runs.

Same top-brand rate by repeated cited pages
  • No shared page47.30% (12,243 of 25,883)
  • One shared page53.23% (14,597 of 27,424)
  • Two or more shared pages62.82% (43,707 of 69,575)
Back-to-back answer pairs on the same prompt and engine.

Takeaway

Use page continuity to segment recommendation stability, not to infer causation.

ChatGPT Search held the same top brand more often than Google AI Mode

When no cited page repeated, ChatGPT logoChatGPT Search kept the same top brand in 9,515 of 18,970 pairs, or 50.1581%. Google logoGoogle AI Mode did so in 2,728 of 6,913 pairs, or 39.4619%. The difference was 10.6962 percentage points.

A combined rate hides a material engine difference. Run the same source-change audit for each engine instead of applying one aggregate benchmark to both.

Same top-brand rate with no repeated cited page
  • ChatGPT logoChatGPT Search50.16% (9,515 of 18,970)
  • Google logoGoogle AI Mode39.46% (2,728 of 6,913)

Takeaway

Review recommendation stability separately for ChatGPT logoChatGPT Search and Google logoGoogle AI Mode.

The time between answers did not create a steady pattern

With no repeated cited page, the same top brand remained first in 2,879 of 6,400 one-day pairs, or 44.9844%; 8,705 of 17,994 pairs two to seven days apart, or 48.3772%; and 659 of 1,489 pairs eight or more days apart, or 44.2579%.

A longer time between answers was not associated with a steady rise or fall in this observed cut. Do not turn one interval into a general decay rule. The intervals also contain different prompt mixes.

Same top-brand rate by time between answers
  • One day44.98% (2,879 of 6,400)
  • Two to seven days48.38% (8,705 of 17,994)
  • Eight or more days44.26% (659 of 1,489)
Pairs where no cited page repeated.

Industry stability ranged from 39.96% to 61.75%

Among displayed industries with at least 200 complete-turnover pairs, Consumer Electronics kept the same top brand in 134 of 217 pairs, or 61.7512%. Information Technology reached 57.8440%, Software 53.6052%, Financial Services 45.0063%, Commerce and Shopping 43.4343%, Internet Services 42.4171%, Food and Beverage 41.8824%, and Professional Services 39.9638%.

Compare logoCompare a brand with its category baseline before treating its result as unusual. These rates describe the observed prompt mix and do not show that industry caused recommendation stability.

Selected industry same top-brand rates
  • Consumer Electronics61.75% (134 of 217)
  • Information Technology57.84% (660 of 1,141)
  • Software53.61% (736 of 1,373)
  • Financial Services45.01% (712 of 1,582)
  • Commerce and Shopping43.43% (430 of 990)
  • Internet Services42.42% (179 of 422)
  • Food and Beverage41.88% (178 of 425)
  • Professional Services39.96% (221 of 553)
Each displayed industry has at least 200 complete-turnover pairs.

LinkedIn stayed first in 86.05% of its complete-turnover pairs

LinkedIn logoLinkedIn remained first in 290 of 337 complete-turnover pairs across 66 prompts, or 86.0534%. Linear logoLinear reached 72.2772%, Bright Data logoBright Data 70.5882%, HubSpot logoHubSpot 68.6957%, Datadog logoDatadog 67.2673%, Stripe logoStripe 64.1975%, Microsoft logoMicrosoft 54.0816%, and Semrush logoSemrush 37.5000%.

Named-brand rates show where to investigate repeated prompt histories. They reflect each brand's prompt mix and do not form a universal brand-quality ranking.

Selected brand stability after complete page turnover
Cleaned root brands with at least 20 complete-turnover pairs.
LinkedIn logoLinkedIn33729086.05%66
Linear logoLinear20214672.28%31
Bright Data logoBright Data17012070.59%26
HubSpot logoHubSpot1157968.70%68
Datadog logoDatadog33322467.27%74
Stripe logoStripe16210464.20%63
Microsoft logoMicrosoft29415954.08%196
Semrush logoSemrush722737.50%45

The result held under stricter page and prompt-history rules

The main result, using cleaned page addresses, was 12,243 of 25,883, or 47.3013%. The original, uncleaned page addresses produced 12,508 of 26,377, or 47.4201%. Requiring at least two cited pages in each answer produced 9,610 of 21,283, or 45.1534%. Retaining only the first complete-turnover pair per prompt and engine produced 5,813 of 12,630, or 46.0253%.

We excluded ambiguous first recommendations, answers without a cited page, and prompt, engine, and timestamp combinations that contained more than one answer. Page addresses were counted once after fragments, trailing slashes, and eight standard tracking parameters were removed. The study does not measure factual support, recommendation quality, user demand, or causation.

47.3013%
main cut, cleaned page addresses
12,243 of 25,883
47.4201%
original page addresses
12,508 of 26,377
45.1534%
at least two pages in each answer
9,610 of 21,283
46.0253%
first turnover pair per prompt and engine
5,813 of 12,630

What marketers should do

The top brand stayed the same in 47.3013% of complete-turnover pairs. Stability rose to 62.8200% with at least two repeated cited pages, and the no-shared-page rate differed by 10.6962 percentage points between the two engines.

Record the first recommendation and the cleaned set of cited pages for every repeated priority prompt. Review each engine separately. Inspect the answer before changing content because this study does not show that a source change caused the brand outcome. Rerun the fixed-window method next quarter before calling a difference movement.

Takeaway

Track the recommendation and cited pages together, then inspect engine-specific changes before acting.

Get the data

Dataset CSVThe metrics behind every figure in this report.

Sources

  1. SparkToro: AI brand and product recommendation inconsistency · accessed 2026-08-07
  2. Ahrefs: AI Mode and AI Overviews · accessed 2026-08-07
  3. BrightEdge: Different sources but similar brands · accessed 2026-08-07
  4. Semrush: Ghost citations and brand mentions · accessed 2026-08-07

Related research

Does AI recommend the same brand when you ask again?
Only about six in ten times. The top recommendation stayed the same in 90,817 of 161,023 consecutive same-prompt, same-engine answer pairs, or 56.40%.
How long an AI citation lasts
Ask AI the same question twice and it rarely cites the same sources. About half of a query's citations vanish by the next run, but a durable core persists for weeks.
Do shared sources lead to the same AI recommendation?
Usually not. Even when ChatGPT Search and Google AI Mode cited the same page, they chose different top brands in 5,267 of 9,854 matched answer pairs, or 53.45%.
AI citation volatility by industry: one-shot checks miss the signal
Ask the same AI question again and the cited sources usually change. Across repeated runs, ChatGPT answers shared only about 21% of their cited sources, and every industry showed high churn.

About this research

Dimitry Apollonsky

Founder, Parse

I built Parse to track where AI answers really come from: the sources they cite and the brands they name. DM me on LinkedIn to talk shop.

Track first recommendations and cited pages as separate measures.

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