Data as of Oct 17, 2026A topic in Prediction Market Betting Platforms.
Reviewed by Dimitry Apollonsky
AI summary
Kalshi holds a narrow lead over Polymarket for using financial and economic prediction markets to hedge a portfolio. Polymarket also offers active markets on upcoming U.S. economic events.
Direct event contracts tied to official economic data, including CPI
Active economic prediction markets covering upcoming U.S. events
Options trading to profit from companies beating or missing expectations
Options trading to profit from companies beating or missing expectations
Mentioned in · Jul 7 – Oct 17, 2026
ChatGPT SearchOct 17, 2026
The most direct place to look is Polymarket. It has a dedicated earnings prediction market where you can trade on whether a company will beat its quarterly earnings estimates, rather than simply betting on whether its stock price will rise.
1. Polymarket
(Best match)
Company beat quarterly earnings?”Google AI ModeOct 17, 2026
Which prediction markets offer betting options for macroeconomic events such as the consumer price index?
Can you point me to a prediction market site that lets users trade on economic events such as the Consumer Price Index?
How can I use a prediction market to hedge my real-world financial portfolio?
Google AI ModeSep 25, 2026
The market rules specify which earnings figure counts and how the outcome is settled. Check those rules before trading.
2. Kalshi
Important if you're in the United States: use Polymarket US, the separate U.S. platform, rather than the international Polymarket.com site. U.S. users are prohibited from trading on the international platform. Availability of a specific earnings contract on the U.S. platform still needs to be checked.
Which tech company are you interested in? For example, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, or Tesla.
Tell me the company name, and I can look for a market tied to its upcoming earnings report and help you identify the exact target, deadline, and Yes/No trading options.
You can trade or "bet" on whether a company will beat or miss its earnings/revenue targets using prediction markets and specialized financial derivatives.[](https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7324239)[[2](https://sailgp.com/prediction-markets/economy/earnings)](https://sailgp.com/prediction-markets/economy/earnings)[[3](https://www.moomoo.com/news/post/1001209494/new-tools-for-betting-on-us-earnings-sec-approves-kpi)](https://www.moomoo.com/news/post/1001209494/new-tools-for-betting-on-us-earnings-sec-approves-kpi)
The primary avenues available include:
Yes, you can definitely trade or place contracts on upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI ) prints. There are regulated financial event-contract exchanges and decentralized prediction markets that routinely run specific markets on U.S. inflation data (both Month-over-Month and Year-over-Year numbers).
The primary platforms where you can find these contracts include:
If you want to narrow this down, let me know:
ChatGPT SearchSep 25, 2026
Yes. Kalshi currently has dedicated markets for U.S. CPI releases, including both month-over-month CPI and year-over-year inflation thresholds.
You can trade contracts such as “CPI above X%,” with prices reflecting the market-implied odds. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange in the U.S.
If you tell me your exact CPI prediction (e.g. “September core CPI will be 0.2% MoM”), I can look for the corresponding live contract and explain its payout.